Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. A message from Martine. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. In the main event, former light It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. Edit your transcribed text. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. Nate Silver's. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. 0:00:00 Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. gold rush supreme second chance winners. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. MANAGER'S SALARY. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Happy holidays! In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev.